Archive for May, 2010

What Will it Take for the Gap to Turn Around its Namesake Brand?

In the past few years, even before the recession began, the Gap, one of the staple tenants at U.S. regional malls, has been experiencing waning popularity. Part of the problem might have been oversaturation, but another big factor seemed to be poor merchandise selection. With the entrance of new management and design teams, however, the retailer has done a pretty good job turning around its Old Navy and Banana Republic brands. Old Navy stores, in particular, have been projecting a whole new level of energy recently, with big crowds drawn in by a wide selection of cheap, colorful clothes and an expanded choice of accessories.
The Gap stores, however, still lag behind, according to a story in The Wall Street Journal. The 27-year-old customer interviewed in the article hits the nail on the head when she notes that too many of the clothes the Gap sells fit into a very conservative color scheme and there aren’t enough dresses and skirts. But I also think the Gap’s clothes are overpriced for what they are, a definite misstep in this market. Does anyone agree? And can Gap afford to knock about $10 to $15 off its merchandise?

Retail Sales Get Reality Check in April

As expected, same-store sales crashed back to earth in April following March’s out of this world results.
Weak year-over-year comparisons, pent-up demand and the “Easter shift” made March the best month for retailers in about a decade. But April was not as kind.
The researchers crunching the numbers found that same-store sales rose by about 1.0 percent for the month. That puts the combined March/April figure at about 4.5 to 5.0 percent. The weak April results were the direct result of the Easter boom the previous month. March got all the benefit of Easter-driven sales. Moreover, the run of spending spurred on by pent-up demand that went on during the early months of the year may have run its course. Many consumers have now returned to their frugal ways. And is it that big a surprise really? The jobs picture remains bleak. Consumer credit is less available and the housing market remains in shambles. Those were three major factors driving consumer spending during the boom year. Without robust recoveries, there will be no sustained consumer spending binge.

“We know that things probably are not going to get worse, but the consumer is not out there leading us forward,” said Stephen Hoch, a marketing professor at Wharton School.
The results came a week after data showed that the U.S. economy expanded at a 3.2 percent annual rate in the first quarter, the fastest pace of consumer spending in three years.
But that translated into mixed results for U.S. businesses, as people are more selective about where they spend, analysts say. In addition, a fresh report on jobless claims showed a slightly smaller-than-expected drop in unemployment filings, suggesting a more gradual recovery.
“Nobody has told American consumers that the recession is over although some officials have rosy predictions of growing consumer spending,” consumer trend expert Britt Beemer said in a note. “We’re seeing a lot of people on the edge of financial distress.”

Retail Forward recorded the year over year gain as 1.2 percent. ICSC and Retail Metrics said sales rose 0.8 percent compared with April of last year.
ICSC’s tally shows that same-store sales rose 0.8 percent in April. Read the rest of this entry »

Westfield Plans $10B Redevelopment Campaign; GGP Bankruptcy Hearing Postponed Again (Tuesday’s News & Notes)

The retail real estate marketplace continues to provide more good news this week. The General Growth Properties bankruptcy court hearing had to be postponed again as the REIT needs more time to examine revised bids from both Brookfield and Simon. And Australian listed property trust the Westfield Group reported that sales at its U.S. centers rose at the fastest pace in three years in the first quarter. Westfield currently plans to embark on a $10 billion global redevelopment of its mall portfolio. For this and other news about retail and retail real estate, follow the links below:

  • Sales at Westfield’s U.S. centers rose 5.3 percent in the first quarter of 2010, the largest increase in three years, according to Bloomberg Businessweek. The Sydney Morning Herald reports that Westfield has set aside $200 million out of a global budget of $10 billion to redevelop its U.S. malls.
  • The hearing that will determine the stalking horse bidder in the General Growth Properties reorganization has been rescheduled for Friday, according to Chicago Real Estate Daily.
  • Bankrupt movie rental chain the Movie Gallery announced it will liquidate, resulting in thousands of store closures over the next several months, according to Zerohedge.com.
  • A private equity firm agreed to buy casual dining restaurant chain Dave & Buster’s for $570 million, reports the Dallas Morning News. This jibes with observations from last week about private equity players looking at a number of struggling retail chains as potential acquisition targets, according to bnet.com.
  • While consumer spending might be on an upswing, Americans will remain cautious spenders for some time.
  • The Patriot Ledger reports that in order to save on real estate costs, many retail chains are looking at downsizing new stores.

Simon Raises Bid for GGP

Simon Property Group is not giving up without a fight. Shortly after General Growth announced that it still preferred Brookfield’s offer, Simon came back with a revised buyout offer for the firm worth $18.25 per share.

Simon Property Group Inc. has offered to buy all of General Growth Properties Inc. for $18.25 per share, even as its bid to purchase a minority stake in its rival was rejected, sources familiar with the situation said on Monday.

General Growth said in a court filing on Monday it had accepted a recapitalization plan from Brookfield Asset Management over the Simon offer, but was reviewing Simon’s proposal to buy all of the company, in the latest twist in the battle for the No. 2 U.S. mall owner.

Simon teamed up with Blackstone Group LP to make a cash and stock offer for all of General Growth and made the offer along with a separate bid to bankroll its rival’s exit from bankruptcy, the sources said.

Blackstone has committed more than $1 billion to support a Simon deal for all of General Growth , one of the sources said.

GGP Still Chooses Brookfield

General Growth Properties has reaffirmed its preference for a reorganization deal with Brookfield Asset Management over the plan proposed by rival Simon Property Group. Several newspapers, including The New York Times and The Wall Street Journal, have reported that over the weekend General Growth’s board voted in favor of Brookfield becoming the stalking horse bidder in its reorganization. The vote came after Brookfield upped its bid to $10.50 per share from a previously offered $10 per share and agreed to vest its warrants over a period of time rather than all at once. The issue of the stalking horse bidder will be decided at a bankruptcy court hearing scheduled for May 5. That still leaves Simon time to raise its bid, but it would have to up the price considerably to snatch the deal from Brookfield, according to Todd Sullivan, of the Value Plays blog.