Archive for the ‘International’ Category

First Missteps in Canada?

When we wrote our story about U.S. retailers and developers trying to expand in Canada earlier this summer, many market experts warned that entering Canada for the first time won’t be an easy feat. This week, we are getting the first inklings of what they were talking about.

Among the retailers opening new stores in Canada this summer is J.Crew. But it seems that no sooner than the chain opened its first store in Toronto than it has already managed to turn off some local shoppers. The reason? J.Crew is charging customers at its Canadian stores and on its Canadian e-commerce site a 15 percent premium on merchandise compared to what it charges U.S. shoppers.

Many Canadians are well familiar with what J.Crew’s U.S. prices are because they’ve shopped at its stores stateside and they are outraged at being forced to pay extra for the same products. Some have threatened that they will stop shopping at J.Crew or will return previously bought merchandise.

“I will not spend another penny there,” said Suzanne Dugard, a longtime J. Crew customer who bought about $600 worth of clothes at the Toronto store on Thursday and plans to take them all back. “I feel once again as a Canadian, I’m getting screwed.”

What does everyone think? Was J.Crew justified in raising prices at its Canadian store? Is there any way to mend the chain’s image north of the border?

New Kind of Mall?

That most men hate malls, and shopping in general, is a well-known maxim in the retail industry. Anecdotal evidence would point to the fact that men often consider going into a store a sort of punishment and statistical evidence says one in five men would rather do their taxes than go shopping. As a result, most malls in the U.S. still cater to women, in spite of some barely successful tries over the years to lure in men with promises of beer and cookies.

A bold European developer, however, is attempting to challenge the wisdom that men simply won’t enjoy shopping by building a mall that caters exclusively to the male population. The upcoming Panska Pasaz in Prague, buing built by Metroslav, will be tenanted by high-end men’s stores, especially those that specialize in tailored suits. There will also be a wine market on site.

Here’s the property’s Facebook page. It’s in Czech, but you can see the renderings and some of the posted press releases seem to be in English.

U.S. mall developers have been thinking up ways in recent years to make their properties more relevant to a wider range of consumers. It will be interesting to see how successful the Panska Pasaz experiment turns out to be. If it finally hits on the formula of how to get men into a mall, it might be worth replicating here.

NAREIT REIT Week Live Blog: Westfield Group

Mark Stefanek, CFO-U.S., is reporting for Westfield Group at NAREIT’s REIT Week.

Refresh page for updates.

Below are notes from the session.

4:34: Stefanek: Our philosophy is intensive management and redevelopment. We get 12 to 15 percent on incremental capital we spend. And we look to make the centers continually relevant. … Garden State Plaza, for example, has less than 20 percent of the same tenants it did in 1994. … We came from place where it’s normal to have other types of users in malls—such as grocers. We talked about that so long in the U.S. that we stopped talking about it. … The business came to us. … And so far we’ve added three grocers to suburban malls. … We think it’s very transforming for the mall.

4:35: Stefanek: We think the market is in a good place to recycle capital. We are looking at properties where we don’t have the ability to spend significant money on redevelopment in the coming years. … We’re looking at new markets where we haven’t been in the past. … In the past we’ve stuck to the four markets we’re already in (U.S., U.K., Australia, New Zealand), but now we’re looking beyond that.

4:37: Stefanek: Our March/April sales in the U.S. were up 7 percent. Based on all of that, we are expecting 2.5 to 3.0 percent same-center NOI growth in the U.S. (And greater increases in Australia and the U.K.)

4:39: Stefanek: At ICSC, retailers came to do deals. … Another interesting point is that a lot of the food court tenants are basically franchisees. That business is doing well because they are actually able to get financing. … It’s a small data point, but I thought it was very positive. … New concepts are going to the coasts. And tenants are going to B properties. … Retailers need to expand and they are going to not just the best centers.

4:40: Stefanek: In 2011 we will start somewhere between $750M and $1B in new redevelopment and in 2012 and 2013 it will be up to $1.5B in each year.

4:42: Stefanek: (On the World Trade Center.) We have the right of first offer. … We are talking to them about potentially doing retail. What’s holding it up is one of the office buildings may not get built right away. How do you deal with that? We’re a little bit the tail wagging the dog until the plan is set for the office building. … We are constantly meeting with the Port. We would like to be involved, but there is no hard and fast agreement.

4:48: Stefanek: We have an e-commerce mall in Australia. We have a different name-brand recognition there. We have a bunch of tenants signed up. The technology works. We have tenants that we don’t have in the malls. … We’ll see what comes of that. … As it relates to the U.S., the retailer doing the best is the one that is multi-channel—he’s got a catalog, e-commerce and bricks-and-mortar. … There are retailers using spaces as showrooms. That argues for smaller stores. … (With some retailers) you can buy things on the Internet and pick it up at stores. … That’s what the mall is. It constantly changes. It constantly churns. … If you come with a view that all forms of retail ought to be in the mall, it gives you a whole other data point.

4:54: Stefanek: (In response to its disposition strategy on the U.S. properties the firm is marketing.) Most likely, this is it. If we sell 15, that leaves us with 40. … It’s a good portfolio. There’s plenty of demand. We can’t sit here and say we’re going to sell next year. I don’t know where markets are going to be. … I can’t tell you how it’s pricing, but if we didn’t think it was going well, we would have stopped it.

Session ends.

NAREIT REIT Week Live Blog: Taubman Centers

Robert Taubman, chairman, president & CEO, and, Lisa Payne, vice chairman & CFO, are reporting for Taubman Centers at NAREIT’s REIT Week.

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Below are notes from the session.

9:33: Taubman: In 2010, tenant sales reached $564 per square foot—well above our previous high of $555 in 2007. In first quarter, the 12-month trailing average reached $581 per square foot. … These sales increases have significantly improved retailer expectations. … Retailers across categories and price points are (expanding). … We are once again able to push rents. … For full year, NOI will be up 2 percent. With the positive shift in the economy and the rebound in retail sales, 2011 will be the year that external growth will resume. … We have four prongs of growth mall development, acquisitions, development in Asia and outlet developments in the U.S. … We believe 15 to 20 new regional malls will be built in the next decade and we hope to build four or five of these.

9:35: Taubman: The mall sector is extremely consolidated. We are always watching and have capital available for selective opportunities. We are also looking in Asia and think we … may have more opportunities there. … We are also bullish on outlets. … We are scouring the country for potential sites. … I’ve been saying for a while that I would be disappointed if we weren’t in a position to announce at least one by the end of 2011 and … should be able to build five to 10 in the (coming) years.

9:40: Taubman: Better sales create better retailer expectations and create better rents over time. Five quarters in a row of double-digit growth is unprecedented. … Obviously we were down tremendously in the 12 months post-Lehman. … We were up 12 percent for the whole of 2010. We were forecasting 3 percent to 4 percent for the year. … What retailers have actually done is to that their good locations they are filling with greater inventory and putting more sales people on the floor. I don’t know how long it can last, but we’re thrilled with what we’ve got. … If we have any kind of continuation of this trend, we will achieve $600 per square foot in 2011.

9:48: Taubman: (In response to question about the outlook for the outlet business.) It’s clearly a very active space, with a number of new entrants. … Steve Tanger, who is long in this space, has said publicly that in the next 10 years that 100 outlet malls can be build in the United States. We have much more modest goals. We would like to be high-quality assets. A premium regional mall starts at $500 per square foot. We think in the outlet mall, a similar quality asset would start at $400 per square foot. … We would like to start at (that sales level). … We also have said that in the next decade, we would be disappointed if we couldn’t find at least five assets and hope to do 10. … We already have two. … At this point with Great Lakes Crossing we have 100 (tenants) and Dolphin Mall has (80 tenants). … We believe we have a place in the industry. We believe our knowledge of retail real estate and these two assets as a base give us a different position than others trying to get into this space.

9:50: Taubman: There’s lot of people that cross-shop all the time. It’s a different kind of experience. One tends to be open-air. One tends to be much further from an urban area—although start-up development is becoming much closer. … But if you look at brands, much of them tend to be the same (between regional malls and outlet centers). … Part of the reason we’ve been encouraged to go into the business is that the senior executives of retailers want more locations in the outlet sector. … We looked at the top 30 markets in the U.S. and we do believe there are good opportunities to be built. The only question is who is going to build them?

9:57: Taubman: (In response to question about its Asia strategy.) About 6.5 years ago, we made a determination that the opportunities in the U.S. for regional malls had declined. There were about 40 malls built in the last 10 years. We say there will be 15 to 20. We built 9 in the last decade. We’re saying we will build four to five in the next decade. … As we looked at other places, in Asia we felt our skill sets would be valued and there was … enormous building new demand for new supply. … Our strategy was to be pan-Asia. … We would be a service provider with equity ownership—generally minority—in retail components. We had two under construction. Our partners blew up. And the projects are just sitting there right now. We ended up not accomplishing a lot, but learning a lot. … We made a determination through the Great Recession that we should reexamine our strategy, vet it through the company and through the board. We hired a consultant. … We decided to focus on China and focus on Korea. … Provide services and get our feet wet more. We’re excited with Renee (Tremblay). … He wanted to build something and we offered him that opportunity. … If there’s one thing to focus on, if an Asian owner of land or developer is looking for a partner, it’s the global relation with retailers we have. It’s going to be a local decision, but it’s also going to be an international decision as it moves up the chain. … So when we’re talking to Louis Vuitton about 10 different things in our portfolio and we meet with the CEO twice a year in Paris, this is something that’s on the agenda.

10:00: Payne: (In response to its debt strategy.) In 1998, we ended up converted from unsecured to secured. We feel very, very strongly that for our company with large, high-quality and consistent assets, we are able to achieve better financing and consistent costs of capital with secured financings. … The kind of rating our company can achieve with a rating agency, doesn’t match the quality of our assets. So it’s kind of a no-brainer. … We’ve accessed insurance companies. We’ve accessed CMBS. Banks are now out doing seven-to-10 year money, with which you can then do an interest-rate swap.

Session ends.

RECon Takeaways

This morning, I posted a series of takeaways to our Twitter feed–a stream of consciousness of sorts recounting some of the major themes I heard in meetings and other conversations at the ICSC RECon show that took place in Las Vegas from Sunday through yesterday.

For those of you not following us on Twitter, here’s what I posted. I would love to hear others’ thoughts on themes from the show as well:

  • The industry is realizing that the future is clicks and bricks. Online sales will grow, but retailing will increasingly be a blend. People use the net to comparison shop already. As more people get smartphones, they’ll do that in the store too. Consumers will also be able to research products online while looking at them in person.
  • Social media had a much bigger presence at this year’s show. ICSC had a Social Media pavilion that had tons of content. Many more people were Tweeting from the floor. And there were noticeably more tablets. Leasing guys were using those for presentations. And many booths featured one or more QR codes.
  • As one person said, “The show went from being a job fair back to an actual dealmaking convention.” In addition, there was a sense that meetings this year resulted in more actionable items. Last year there was a lot more caution. Meetings that took place were more about touching base and feeling out the market than they were about doing deals
  • Whether you’re talking investment, leasing or development, class-A in best markets rebounding fastest.
  • The retail development pipeline is in the early stages of restarting, but it will be a while before a real uptick in openings. And many projects on display were ones that got mothballed and then tweaked. The exception to this was the outlet sector. A few projects were announced at the show and other companies talked of intentions to build both high-end and value outlet projects.
  • CMBS 2.0–a term that’s gotten thrown around a lot as CMBS issuance has risen–is a misnomer. A more accurate description would be CMBS 1.1. About the only thing that has changed is that underwriting is tighter. But a lot of things discussed when the market had frozen–such as lenders putting more skin in the game or changing how pools are put together–are not happening. Predictions of 2011 issuance varied from $30 billion to $60 billion.
  • The investment sales market continues to mend. First quarter volume was up in 2011 over 2010. Most expect healthy growth for 2011. We might even see a few portfolios become available, although nothing massive will hit the market. The Blackstone/Centro deal was an aberration. There are no other giant mergers like that cooking.
  • Some new concepts and international retailers are in the market looking to take advantage of vacancies to expand, but not a huge amount. One reason is that it is hard to finance startups. Established retailers are in a position to expand, but most are taking a cautious approach. The highest-quality retailers want the best locations and many are also looking at urban markets. That dovetails with a trend among big-box tenants to reduce store footprints. In part it’s being driven by efficiency and better merchandising. But it’s also stemming from a desire to open in urban spaces. Retailers in some markets also have taken advantage of market conditions to upgrade from class-B or class-C centers to better locations. The outlook for lower-quality properties remains murky.
  • Lastly, tenants are asking for kickouts tied to cotenancy and/or sales, free rent, and tenant improvement allowances, but not necessarily reductions. One hitch is that owners that have debt that’s in special servicing may have a hard time getting approvals to grant those allowances.

Simon Announces Canada Outlet Play

The news is pouring in fast and furious as ICSC’s RECon show begins in earnest today.

The most intriguing announcement so far: Simon Property Group has formed a joint venture with Canadian developer Calloway REIT to build Premium Outlets in Canada.

The first center will be built in the town of Halton Hills–just 15 minutes outside Toronto.

Wait a minute. That sounds familiar.

Simon’s announcement comes about three and a half months after Tanger Outlet Centers formed a similar joint venture with RioCan REIT. Tanger and RioCan said they might invest about $1 billion to build a portfolio of 10 to 15 centers.

And, in fact, in mid-March, Tanger and RioCan also announced plans to build a property in … wait for it … Halton Hills!

So are there really going to be two outlet centers going up in the same place? Or does this raise doubts about the Tanger/RioCan project? Tanger and RioCan said they had purchased a 35-acre parcel and were aiming to open in April 2013.

Simon’s release, intriguingly, includes a quote from the town’s mayor. Simon and Calloway also say they, like RioCan and Tanger, have procured a site. They don’t list a target opening date, but do say that they think construction will begin next spring.

So it appears there’s a race on. It seems hard to believe that both projects can succeed. It will be interesting to track leasing announcements to see where tenants end up signing.

From Simon’s release:

Simon Property Group, Inc. and Calloway Real Estate Investment Trust announced today that they have signed a Letter of Intent to develop the first Premium Outlet Center® in Canada. The center will be located in the Town of Halton Hills, Ontario, just 15 minutes outside of Toronto.

The Halton Hills site, located at Highway 401 and Trafalgar Road, with its in-place zoning approvals permitting outlet center uses, is in the process of obtaining additional municipal approvals and permits required for a construction start in spring 2012.

“We are excited to bring the Premium Outlets branded concept of upscale outlet shopping to Canada. This location will enable us to serve over 6 million area residents within a one-hour drive,” remarked John R. Klein, President of Simon’s Premium Outlets platform. “Coupled with Calloway’s depth of management and its major shareholder SmartCentres’ proven track record in development, we believe our first project in Canada will be a resounding success.”

“Calloway is very excited to work with Simon Property Group and its Premium Outlets division, which has established a reputation of providing shoppers with the highest quality outlet centers. Outlet shopping is an underserved segment of the retail landscape and we intend to satisfy the pent up consumer demand,” said Al Mawani, President and Chief Executive Officer of Calloway.

“We are thrilled that Simon Property Group has chosen to work with Calloway on this exciting project. The Town staff has been working closely with representatives of Calloway to proceed expeditiously through the planning process. The significant financial investment by Simon Property Group/Calloway in our community as well as the hundreds of jobs that will be created as a result of this development are very important to the economic vitality of our town,” said Halton Hills Mayor Rick Bonnette.

Lessons from the Latest Mall Shooting

There has been another mass shooting at a mall–this time in the Netherlands. The attacker killed six and left 15 injured before killing himself.

The rampage was one of those incidents in which it is clear that the shooter meant to wreak havoc from the start. The attacker wore camouflage gear. He shot someone first in the shopping center’s parking lot and then fired a machine gun indiscriminately before running out of ammo. He fired more than 100 rounds. The shooter left a suicide note, but he didn’t get into any motives for the mass shooting.

Mall security has been a subject we at Retail Traffic have written about many times. In fact, I just posted our latest feature last week. It explores how some mall owners run coordinated security drills with first responders in order to be as ready as possible in case something terrible does occur.

Incidents like the one in the Netherlands are ones that no mall–no matter how well prepared–can do much about. Individuals intent on killing large numbers of people are always going to be drawn to malls simply because they are mass gathering places.

But that’s not to say that the industry shouldn’t be prepared. Many of the stories we’ve written have pointed out shortfalls or places where corners have been cut when it comes to security. One of the biggest issues of all is the fact that mall security guards are poorly paid and the position has an extremely high rate of turnover–close to 100 percent annual.

That means that even when training does take place it has to to be constant to make sure the new faces know what to do. What the mall owners and managers in our latest feature are doing is commendable because it leaves them as prepared as possible for the worst case scenarios. Still, there’s always room for improvement.

These incidents cannot be avoided altogether. But we just have to keep doing whatever possible to make sure that when they do take place that mall personnel know what to do. It can make a big difference and save lives.

Zell Talks About CRE Outlook; Rips Obamacare and Dodd-Frank

The great Sam Zell, chairman of Equity Investments, was on CNBC this morning talking about a range of topics. A few minutes in he talks about why he has not done deals during the down cycle and his explanation for why the distressed market did not play out the way many people thought it would.

Here are some excerpts from the video. You can watch the whole clip embedded below.

We haven’t built anything in this country since July of ‘07. Except for some apartments, I don’t think we’re going to build anything in this country for the next two or three years.

Literally, across the country, existing space is being filled…. It’s literally getting occupied.

You can’t have a commercial real estate destruction without oversupply and we do not have oversupply. Will it take a year or more to fill? Probably. I think that there’s a direct correlation between filling of buildings and the end of ‘pretend and extend.’ In other words, up until now the banks have been able to defer dealing with these issues. But when the buildings get filled, they have no need of the zombie owner anymore. And they’re going to take it back and it will lead to what I call, ‘dilution is the solution deals’ where an institution comes in, puts new capital into a building, pays down the debt, redoes the debt and then the owner ends up with a hope certificate and a management contract.

How much more commercial real estate do we need? Between 1945 and 1969 the city of Chicago grew immensely and we added one skyscraper in 15 years. And there was nobody sitting on the street at their desk. Demand tends to fit into the available of the supply. Do we need more space? Is it economically viable for a law firm to move to a new building and create the vacant old building, which doesn’t get filled up?


In another segment of the interview, Zell talked politics and blasted Obamacare and ripped the Dodd-Frank bill. Those two clips are below.



Aside from that, there are several other pieces to the interview Read the rest of this entry »

Blackstone Makes Big Bet on Retail With $9.4B Acquisition of Centro Assets

A little more than four years after conducting the largest ever commercial real estate buyout with its acquisition of Equity Office Properties for $23.2 billion, Blackstone Group is at it again.

According to the Wall Street Journal, Blackstone has won the bidding for Centro Properties Group’s 588 U.S. shopping centers in a $9.4 billion deal. According to Bloomberg, this is Blackstone’s biggest deal since its July 2007 acquisition of Hilton Hotels.

Centro grew quickly during the industry’s boom years in an acquisition frenzy fueled by debt. But it overextended and its complicated corporate structure didn’t help matters either. Centro’s woes first became apparent in late 2007 when the company revealed it was in danger of not being able to pay down or refinance $3.4 billion in debt by February 15, 2008.

The crisis led to a change in CEOs with Glenn Rufrano replacing Andrew Scott. (Rufrano has since moved on to take the helm at Cushman & Wakefield.)

For much of 2008 Centro limped along by refinancing pieces of debt and completing strategic asset sales. Late in the year, the firm announced plans to convert part of its debt into a “hybrid security” and eventually turned over a majority stake in the firm to its lenders. That effectively stabilized the situation. But in the years since, it has continued to look for a long-term solution and recently began seeking a buyer of its U.S. retail portfolio.

The deal is also interesting because until now Blackstone has never been a major player in retail real estate. Last year the firm formed a joint venture with mall REIT Glimcher Realty Trust. That joint venture has acquired several assets since its formation. But claiming Centro’s U.S. assets is a much more aggressive push. We had Centro as the fifth largest owner of retail real estate assets in our 2010 Top Owners rankings. Centro has shed some assets since then. Regardless, this suddenly makes Blackstone a major player in the space.

The big question now is what Blackstone’s plans are. When it acquired Equity Office–a deal many see as symbolizing the peak of the commercial real estate bubble–Blackstone moved quickly to dismantle the portfolio in a series of smaller sales. As a result, it made out fine, although some of the firms that acquired assets from Blackstone ended up losing out.

With Centro, does Blackstone plan to be a passive investor and allow the existing team to continue to work on improving fundamentals at the firm’s assets? Or is it looking again to flip the assets as quickly as possible? And how is it funding the acquisition? Private equity deals at the market’s peak relied on massive amounts of debt. It would be a sign of the credit market’s continued resurgence if Blackstone is able to line up a big financing package for this deal.

More details should come soon. We haven’t yet seen official releases from Centro or Blackstone. (At Centro, there is only a short release about Centro Retail Trust requesting a halt on the trading of its stapled securities “pending an announcement of a potential transaction.”

I’ll post updates at the blog and at our Twitter feed as details come in.

Some WSJ story excerpts:

Debt-laden Centro Properties Group agreed to sell its 588 U.S. shopping centers to private-equity giant Blackstone Group LP for $9.4 billion in a deal that will allow Centro’s Australian operations to continue as a stand-alone company, according to people familiar with the matter.

Blackstone prevailed in bidding against two other groups, one a partnership of Morgan Stanley Real Estate Fund VII and Starwood Capital and the other a partnership of NRDC Equity Partners and AREA Property Partners.

Blackstone’s $9.4 billion bid exceeds the $8 billion of debt on Centro’s U.S. portfolio, meaning Centro will get more than $1 billion from the deal to use in paring the debt on its Australian operations. Centro, based in Melbourne, owns 112 malls in Australia and New Zealand. The bid is only slightly less than the value Centro had pegged for the U.S. portfolio on its books.

For Blackstone, with $100 billion in assets under management, the deal is a huge bet on the recovery of U.S. retail property. Blackstone last year had bought stakes in a handful of U.S. malls and made a $500 million investment in General Growth Properties Inc., owner of 185 malls.

The Centro deal dwarfs those earlier forays into U.S. shopping centers by Blackstone. It brings Blackstone 588 strip centers across the U.S., most of them small centers anchored by grocery stores or big-box retailers.

Indeed, Blackstone paid a hefty price for the Centro portfolio, which U.S. retail-property executives long have considered inferior in quality to those of REITS such as Kimco Realty Corp. and Regency Centers Corp. Centro’s U.S. centers were 87.7% occupied at the end of last year.

Past stories:

RioCan Continues Aggressive JV Push (Tuesday’s News & Notes)

Canadian real estate giant RioCan REIT has been extremely active in building up its exposure in the United States. Last year it formed joint ventures with Inland Western Retail Real Estate Inc. and Cedar Shopping Centers Inc. Both of those JVs remain active in acquiring assets.

Now RioCan has hooked up with a third U.S. REIT–Tanger Outlet Centers. Only with this venture, RioCan is seeking to bring Tanger’s expertise up north. The $1 billion joint venture to develop outlet malls in Canada.

“In response to the increasing demand by U.S. tenants to expand into Canada, RioCan is pleased to partner with Tanger to develop Canada’s first portfolio of U.S.-style outlet centres,” Edward Sonshine, RioCan’s president and chief executive said in a statement.

“This venture will fill a void in the Canadian retail marketplace and will provide consumers with a distinctive outlet shopping experience closer to home,” he said.

The agreement will see RioCan and Tanger acquire and lease sites across Canada and redevelop them into discount shopping malls in the image of Tanger Outlet Centers in the United States, which cater to brand-name and designer manufacturers.

Here are some other recent news and notes from around the retail real estate world.